Saturday September 18th, 2021 | | Leave a comment So, let us calculate their mean and standard deviation, as learned in secondary school. We all know they’ve seen what you’ve written. Most of the Holocene has been warmer than now. Mahlman used the term to describe Mann, Bradley and Hughes' global climate pattern. – That’s the question! Your studies have revealed that the relation of proxy data to the real world is usually ephemeral, and when scientists with a preconceived agenda pick and choose proxies to prove a preconceived point, the proxies actually subvert science rather than contribute to it. Book: ‘Human Caused Global Warming, the Biggest Deception in History’ Found inside... 22 Hickman, Leo, 188 'hide the decline', 171, 173, 174–5 Hobart, Tasmania, 198–212, 215, 224 hockey stick graph, 82–7, 96, 169, 175 Holmes family, 200, They will have more arable land, longer growing seasons, greater drought tolerance in their crops, greater crop productivity, more open coastline, less costly resource operations in the winter, fewer climate deaths (since far more people die from cold than from heat), among many other benefits. . Le problème c’est que les étudiants, les […], […] of course, the alleged temperature increase on a global scale is nonsense, derived from a descendant of the infamous “hockey stick.” Naturally enough, so are the […], […] Évidemment, le statisticien qui avait en son temps dévoilé la supercherie de la première courbe a tenté de comprendre d’où vient celle-ci. RealClimate: Numerous myths regarding the so-called "hockey stick" reconstruction of past temperatures, can be found on various non-peer reviewed websites, internet newsgroups and other non-scientific venues. Found inside – Page 63In a recent study Gale conducted with her students, they presented climate scientist Michael Mann's well- known “hockey stick” graph showing the dramatic ... Take a look, comments below. typo: In first sentence “keep telling that defects” you should insert “us” between “telling” and “that”. Although climate scientists keep telling that defects in their "hockey stick" proxy reconstructions don't matter - that it doesn't matter whether they use data upside down, that it doesn't matter if they cherry pick individual series depending on whether they go up in the 20th century, that it doesn . The new graph was created by different authors and claims to show 2,000 years of historical data which it admits is garnered from “reconstructed” data. (The stripbark bristlecone chronologies that were so prominent in the Mann et al Hockey Stick continue to be used in PAGES2019 – as discussed below.) McKitrick: What is the Hockey Stick debate about. Rather than figuring out this quandary, Neukom and the woke just turn the series upside down, following the example of Upside Down Mann by orienting the series according to its correlation with target instrumental temperature, even in their “CPS” reconstruction – a technique that is normally resistant to opportunistic flipping of proxies to enhance HS-ness of a final reconstruction. Many of the series discussed in this post, including nearly all of any HS-shaped series, have been previously discussed in Climate Audit blog posts (tag/pages2k) from 2, 5, 10 or even 15 years ago or in tweets from 2019 and 2020 (see here). 12) Bauer Vapor Hyperlite Hockey Stick. These were emails between and among many of the main promoters of the climate scare (dubbed by McIntyre the "Hockey Team"). 1) Less extreme daily and annual temperatures, expanding planetary habitability zone. Founded in 1921, we have equipped numerous A-Level teams and have acquired a respectable reputation over the years, thanks to our high quality skates and unmatched expertise. Found inside – Page 167On the left, a graph in the classic “hockey stick” mode, showing a slow build, followed by a sudden and dramatic spike. “This is where you went viral,” Tish ... The main claim was that there were 600 extra deaths in BC (NYTimes), almost comparable to the winter COVID surge. I.e. Worse still are the cherry pickers, the hiders and the extrapolaters who manipulate the crappy proxies. Mann’s graph was highly dependent upon proxy climate data — particularly tree ring data — to arrive at temperatures dating back to 1,000 AD. Namely, in IPCC’s Fig 1a the last 170 years appear to be labelled as “observed”, suggesting that they have spliced observed temperatures onto the end of proxy temperatures. (Not so for P17). Fortunately things improve over time regarding the precision of temperature measurements; Since 1980 we have reliable thermometers readings confirmed by satellite measurements provided by the NASA. It was blown up into a huge graph on the set. And you would be wrong. To be fair, Porter et al’s original article showed both the actual (non-descript) chronology from all trees, together with superstick resulting from “hide the decline” on individual trees: the decision to use the spurious superstick belongs to Neukom and PAGES2019. Nic Lewis! 25. Maybe you could share a unique insight about the climate justice movement’s point of view, for example. Found inside – Page 116O Upholstered in heavy Duran material. e No more Joy Stick (they went out with the ... Voice-O-Graph Munves Set Shot, new Oracle of the Sphinx, new v . . OPINION. Here’s a random sample. The [Hockey Stick graph as published in the IPCC's Third Assessment Report in 2001, in a portion written by lead author Mann] omitted tree ring proxy data collected by climate scientist Keith Briffa that showed a decline in temperatures after 1960, a message inconsistent with the prized hockey stick shape. Soil radioisotopes show that the massive East Antarctic Ice Sheet, repository of most of Earth’s fresh water, quit retreating about 3000 years ago. So in your view there simply exists no convincing reconstruction of past temperatures, no existing proxies that could even get at the problem, and no possible way of extracting useful information from those existing proxies? Rarely is it discussed in the media that we actually live in an ice age, towards the end of an interglacial, and that the climate left to itself is most likely on its way into another glacial period. the lead approach for the IPCC to generate concern has been the enduring "hockey stick" graph, supposedly displaying that world temperatures have out of the blue shot up dramatically within the final 100 or so years, purportedly as a consequence of human influences. In the vulgarization book I opened to learn a little bit about data mining (not my speciality I am a glaciologist), I discovered that you need to clean your data and remove outliers, that are considered as “rogue” points, because those points result probably from some experimental error. Found inside – Page 330“hockey. stick”. graph. Michael Mann is a Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Science at Penn State University and the director of the University's Earth ... This will, of course “cascade” in a way or another as nice further grants for my research activities, that remained quite confidential before the climate hype. To believe the opposite would be to advocate for what I have heard Judith Curry call a “no regrets” policy. These were emails between and among many of the main promoters of the climate scare (dubbed by McIntyre the "Hockey Team"). Doesn’t to me. However, in this case, the underlying downhole temperatures had been archived, including the values had been deleted. The complexity of climate and the myriad influences upon it means no one has a clue why or why not the temperature should be higher or lower 1000 years ago or 2000 years ago or 1000 or 2000 in the future. These are all coral Sr or coral d18O series, which make up 25% of the PAGES2019 data set. I also noticed that this recent IPCC report has relegated natural drivers of climate to +-0.1C, and internal variation to +-0.2C since 1850, a perfectly circular and redundant set of figures massaged to cancel out in order to amplify the human effects, and which is consistent with the underlying procedure in the graph above-designed to smooth out all natural variation. Given my scotch and french ancestors migrated south from Canada to the warmer climate of New England that many of my countrymen consider “too cold” to live in, I would say, YES, Canadians should be grateful if their future climate is warmer. If you have a taste for a lot of technical detail, I […], […] Stephen McIntyre, The IPCC AR6 Hockeystick […], […] er ikke mulig å beskrive dette gjenoppståtte bedrageriet mer elegant enn det Steve McIntyre gjorde 11.august: Selv om klimaforskere fortsetter å fortelle at feil i deres «hockeykølle» […], […] is promptly at the activity once more. The UN’s Climate “Code Red” Versus The Real World | Newsmediaone.com ! "hockey stick graph" that global warming nuts have used to show global temperatures rose during the time period when man began using fossil fuels that were releasing CO2 or Carbon Dioxide into the atmosphere. > So you want to Make Climate Great Again? Included in the Climategate releases were emails relating specifically to . I’ve spent an inordinate amount of time on such concordances over the past few years and make “info” spreadsheets to keep track. The [Hockey Stick graph as published in the IPCC's Third Assessment Report in 2001, in a portion written by lead author Mann] omitted tree ring proxy data collected by climate scientist Keith Briffa that showed a decline in temperatures after 1960, a message inconsistent with the prized hockey stick shape. Sharp-eyed readers may have already figured out some of this story. “Second, this composite is scaled to the mean and standard deviation of the reconstruction target over the calibration period.” Alkenones are a very unique proxy because there are widely accepted formulas for converting alkenone measurements directly to deg C. Alkenones are widely used to estimate ocean temperature in deep time, yielding consistent estimates for millions of years. Yes, it is another Hockey Stick graph. Found inside – Page 187The latter graph is named “the hockey stick graph” due to its resemblance in shape to a hockey stick, and played an important role in an IPCC report (2001) ... Rune, I wonder where you get that certainty from? Votre adresse e-mail ne sera pas publiée. Abstract. Perhaps I am wrong, but either way please can you clarify on this point? Willard, you have made a half dozen comments and are yet to make a point. . 2590a – People Are Waking Up To The Financial Crisis & The Banking System, It Has Begun. On the one hand is the hockey stick mannequin-based prediction of an impending local weather apocalypse by UN Secretary-Basic António Guterres […], […] of the alleged “local weather disaster” is an eminently fateful one. Au plaisir de discuter! Found inside – Page 244The iconic graph is better known as the “hockey- stick” temperature graph because its curve is relatively flat over an extended period and then increases ... The Egyptian Warm Period was about as toasty as the HCO. Not only is his work tenacious, but also brilliantly executed, well constructed and well reported. Worst of all, the trees are cherry-picked for their “correct signal.”, I’m not in Canada, Ron. Thanks for that link to a RealClimate posting by Mike Mann. Anyway MBH98 is obsolete anyway, and maybe it is time to stop arguing that it is faulty or misleading, as there is better data in more recent publications. Natural causes, many with wavelengths of centuries or millennia are of no interest to politicians or ideologists: they want power now. Michael Mann, who chose to file what many consider to be a cynical SLAPP (Strategic Lawsuit Against Public Participation) libel suit in the British Columbia Supreme Court, Vancouver six long years ago, has astonished legal experts by refusing to comply with the court direction to hand over all his disputed graph's data.Mann's iconic hockey stick has been relied upon by the UN's IPCC and . What you ’ ve written make climate Great Again to believe the opposite would to. M not in Canada, Ron ” Tish power now his work,! Daily and annual temperatures, expanding planetary habitability zone heavy Duran material, for example insight about the justice... 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